St · Statistics & Probability

What Are the Properties of the Maximum and Minimum of Exponential Random Variables?

Updated 13 October 2026

At a glance

  1. 1. State the assumptions

    Assume the variables are independent and use the rate parameterization, where an exponential variable with rate λ has mean 1/λ.

  2. 2. Find the minimum

    Multiply the survival probabilities: the minimum is exponential with rate equal to the sum of the individual rates.

  3. 3. Find the maximum distribution

    Use the probability that every variable is at most t; for independent variables, multiply their cumulative distribution functions.

  4. 4. Compute moments

    For identically distributed variables, use the independent spacings between ordered observations to find the maximum's mean and variance.

Let X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_n be independent exponential random variables. This assumption matters: knowing only their individual exponential distributions does not determine the distribution of their minimum or maximum if they may be dependent.

We use the rate parameterization: Xi∼Exp⁡(λi)X_i\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\lambda_i) means XiX_i has density fi(t)=λie−λitf_i(t)=\lambda_i e^{-\lambda_i t} for t≥0t\ge 0, and mean 1/λi1/\lambda_i. Some texts use a scale parameter instead; the scale is the reciprocal of the rate.

The minimum is exponential

Define X(1)=min⁡(X1,…,Xn)X_{(1)}=\min(X_1,\ldots,X_n). For t≥0t\ge 0, the minimum exceeds tt exactly when every variable exceeds tt. Independence gives

Pr⁡(X(1)>t)=∏i=1nPr⁡(Xi>t)=∏i=1ne−λit=e−t∑i=1nλi.\begin{aligned} \Pr(X_{(1)}>t) &=\prod_{i=1}^n\Pr(X_i>t)\\ &=\prod_{i=1}^n e^{-\lambda_i t}\\ &=e^{-t\sum_{i=1}^n\lambda_i}. \end{aligned}

Thus X(1)X_{(1)} is exponential with rate ∑i=1nλi\sum_{i=1}^n\lambda_i. In particular,

E[X(1)]=1∑iλi,Var⁡(X(1))=1(∑iλi)2.\mathbb{E}[X_{(1)}]=\frac{1}{\sum_i\lambda_i}, \qquad \operatorname{Var}(X_{(1)})=\frac{1}{(\sum_i\lambda_i)^2}.

A related result is that the probability that XiX_i is the smallest is λi/(∑jλj)\lambda_i/(\sum_j\lambda_j). For independent continuous variables, ties have probability zero. A variable with a larger rate is more likely to be the first to occur, because a larger rate means a smaller average waiting time.

The maximum’s distribution

Define X(n)=max⁡(X1,…,Xn)X_{(n)}=\max(X_1,\ldots,X_n). The maximum is at most tt precisely when all variables are at most tt, so for t≥0t\ge0,

FX(n)(t)=Pr⁡(X(n)≤t)=∏i=1n(1−e−λit).F_{X_{(n)}}(t)=\Pr(X_{(n)}\le t) =\prod_{i=1}^n\left(1-e^{-\lambda_i t}\right).

For t<0t<0, this CDF is zero. Differentiating the product gives its density for t>0t>0:

fX(n)(t)=∑i=1nλie−λit∏j≠i(1−e−λjt).f_{X_{(n)}}(t)=\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i e^{-\lambda_i t}\prod_{j\ne i}\left(1-e^{-\lambda_j t}\right).

Unlike the minimum, the maximum is generally not exponential. For example, if all rates are equal to λ\lambda, its CDF is (1−e−λt)n(1-e^{-\lambda t})^n, which is not the CDF of an exponential variable when n>1n>1.

For possibly unequal rates, its expectation can also be written using inclusion–exclusion:

E[X(n)]=∑∅≠A⊆{1,…,n}(−1)∣A∣+11∑i∈Aλi.\mathbb{E}[X_{(n)}] =\sum_{\varnothing\ne A\subseteq\{1,\ldots,n\}} (-1)^{|A|+1}\frac{1}{\sum_{i\in A}\lambda_i}.

This follows by integrating Pr⁡(X(n)>t)=1−∏i(1−e−λit)\Pr(X_{(n)}>t)=1-\prod_i(1-e^{-\lambda_i t}) from zero to infinity.

Identically distributed variables: mean and variance

When X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_n are independent and all have rate λ\lambda, the ordered values are X(1)≤⋯≤X(n)X_{(1)}\le\cdots\le X_{(n)}. Their successive spacings are independent exponentials: the spacing from X(k−1)X_{(k-1)} to X(k)X_{(k)} has rate (n−k+1)λ(n-k+1)\lambda, taking X(0)=0X_{(0)}=0. The maximum is the sum of all these spacings. Therefore,

E[X(n)]=Hnλ,Var⁡(X(n))=Hn(2)λ2,\mathbb{E}[X_{(n)}]=\frac{H_n}{\lambda}, \qquad \operatorname{Var}(X_{(n)})=\frac{H_n^{(2)}}{\lambda^2},

where Hn=∑j=1n1/jH_n=\sum_{j=1}^n 1/j and Hn(2)=∑j=1n1/j2H_n^{(2)}=\sum_{j=1}^n 1/j^2. The variance formula uses the independence of the spacings and the fact that an exponential variable with rate rr has variance 1/r21/r^2.

Worked example: three variables with rate 2

Suppose X1,X2,X3X_1,X_2,X_3 are independent with Xi∼Exp⁡(2)X_i\sim\operatorname{Exp}(2). Then the minimum has rate 2+2+2=62+2+2=6, so

E[min⁡iXi]=16,Var⁡(min⁡iXi)=136.\mathbb{E}[\min_i X_i]=\frac{1}{6}, \qquad \operatorname{Var}(\min_i X_i)=\frac{1}{36}.

The maximum has CDF F(t)=(1−e−2t)3F(t)=(1-e^{-2t})^3 for t≥0t\ge0, and its density is 6e−2t(1−e−2t)26e^{-2t}(1-e^{-2t})^2. Since H3=11/6H_3=11/6 and H3(2)=1+1/4+1/9=49/36H_3^{(2)}=1+1/4+1/9=49/36,

E[max⁡iXi]=1112,Var⁡(max⁡iXi)=49144.\mathbb{E}[\max_i X_i]=\frac{11}{12}, \qquad \operatorname{Var}(\max_i X_i)=\frac{49}{144}.

The minimum is much shorter on average than any one variable, while the maximum is longer; neither result says the maximum itself is exponential.

Common mistakes

  • Confusing rate and scale. With rate λ\lambda, the mean is 1/λ1/\lambda. If a problem gives the mean as a parameter, convert it to a rate before using these formulas.
  • Assuming the maximum is exponential. The product formula gives its CDF; for n>1n>1, that CDF is not exponential.
  • Forgetting independence. Multiplying survival probabilities or CDFs requires independence. Without it, the joint distribution is needed.
  • Using the equal-rate moment formulas for unequal rates. The harmonic-sum expressions apply when every variable has the same rate. Use the general CDF or inclusion–exclusion expression when rates differ.

References

  1. A First Course in Probability, Sheldon Ross

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